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Reader Opinion: Donald could win

If Donald Trump is the Republican nominee in November, the polls indicate that 45 percent of the Republican voters will not vote for him, thereby dooming his election.

If Donald Trump is the Republican nominee in November, the polls indicate that 45 percent of the Republican voters will not vote for him, thereby dooming his election.

What isn't being considered however is that Trump has activated the Republican base. According to the facts from the latest primary election the Republican turnout of all the states voting was up an average of 65 percent over the past elections. This means that for the last election, for every million Republicans that voted, this year 1,650,000 Republicans voted.

If 45 percent of Republicans won't vote for Trump that means that 55 percent will vote for him, and when you apply this 55 percent to last elections one million sample voters, it means 550,000 would have voted for Trump. When you apply the 55 percent to this year's turnout (1,650,000 x 55 percent) it comes to 742,500 who would vote for Trump. This is an increase of 192,500 votes per million (742,500 - 550,000 = 192,500) and could be enough to elect him.

Joe Lanz

Nisswa

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